The global demand for hydrogen in heavy industries is poised for significant growth as sectors such as steelmaking, cement production, and chemical manufacturing seek pathways to decarbonize. These industries collectively account for a substantial portion of global carbon emissions, and hydrogen presents a viable alternative to fossil fuels in high-temperature processes and as a feedstock. The shift is driven by tightening climate policies, improving cost competitiveness of low-carbon hydrogen, and advancements in hydrogen-based industrial technologies. However, regional disparities in policy support, infrastructure readiness, and industrial adoption create a complex landscape for hydrogen integration.
Steelmaking is one of the most promising sectors for hydrogen adoption, particularly through hydrogen-based direct reduced iron (DRI) processes. Traditional blast furnace methods rely on coking coal, emitting nearly two tons of CO2 per ton of steel produced. In contrast, hydrogen-based DRI can reduce emissions by over 90% when powered by renewable energy. Europe leads in pilot projects, with initiatives like HYBRIT in Sweden and Thyssenkrupp’s efforts in Germany aiming for commercial-scale hydrogen steel production by 2030. China, the world’s largest steel producer, is also exploring hydrogen DRI but faces challenges due to its reliance on coal-based steel plants and slower policy momentum. Meanwhile, India and Japan are investing in hydrogen-ready infrastructure, though cost barriers remain a hurdle.
Cement production, responsible for approximately 8% of global CO2 emissions, is another critical sector for hydrogen adoption. The industry’s emissions stem largely from clinker production, which requires high-temperature kilns traditionally fueled by coal or natural gas. Hydrogen can replace these fuels in combustion, though technical challenges such as flame stability and NOx emissions must be addressed. Pilot projects in Europe and North America are testing hydrogen blends in kilns, with some plants achieving up to 30% hydrogen substitution without major retrofits. However, full decarbonization would require carbon capture and storage (CCS) alongside hydrogen use, adding complexity. Emerging economies, where cement demand is growing rapidly, lag in hydrogen adoption due to higher costs and limited regulatory pressure.
The chemical manufacturing sector, particularly ammonia and methanol production, is a major consumer of hydrogen. Currently, most hydrogen used in chemicals is derived from steam methane reforming (SMR), which emits CO2. Green hydrogen, produced via electrolysis using renewable energy, offers a carbon-free alternative. Ammonia production is a key focus, as green ammonia can serve both as a hydrogen carrier and a decarbonized feedstock for fertilizers. Projects in the Middle East, Australia, and Europe are scaling up green ammonia facilities, leveraging abundant solar and wind resources. Methanol synthesis is also transitioning, with companies like Carbon Recycling International in Iceland pioneering CO2-to-methanol processes using renewable hydrogen. However, cost parity with conventional methods remains elusive without subsidies or carbon pricing.
Decarbonization policies are the primary driver of hydrogen demand in heavy industries. The European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and Fit for 55 package incentivize low-carbon production, pushing industries toward hydrogen. Similarly, Japan’s Green Growth Strategy and South Korea’s Hydrogen Economy Roadmap include targets for hydrogen use in steel and chemicals. In contrast, regions with weaker climate policies, such as parts of Southeast Asia and Africa, show slower uptake due to economic priorities and fossil fuel dependencies.
Cost competitiveness is a critical factor for hydrogen adoption. Green hydrogen production costs have fallen by over 60% since 2010, driven by declining renewable energy prices and electrolyzer efficiencies. In optimal regions, such as the Middle East and Australia, green hydrogen could reach $2-3 per kilogram by 2030, making it viable for industrial use. However, in areas with higher renewable energy costs or limited infrastructure, gray hydrogen from SMR remains cheaper. Blue hydrogen, which combines SMR with CCS, offers a transitional solution but faces scalability and public acceptance challenges.
Technological advancements are accelerating hydrogen’s role in heavy industries. Innovations in electrolyzer designs, such as solid oxide electrolysis cells (SOECs), improve efficiency and reduce costs. Hydrogen-compatible kiln designs in cement and optimized catalysts for chemical processes are also emerging. However, scalability is a persistent challenge. Industrial hydrogen applications require vast quantities, necessitating gigawatt-scale renewable energy projects and extensive storage and transport networks. Infrastructure gaps, particularly in developing regions, hinder progress.
Major industry players are positioning themselves for the hydrogen transition. Steel giants like ArcelorMittal and SSAB are investing heavily in hydrogen DRI, while chemical firms like BASF and Yara are piloting green ammonia projects. Cement producers such as HeidelbergCement and LafargeHolcim are testing hydrogen in kilns. Collaboration across sectors is growing, with joint ventures between energy companies and industrial users to secure supply chains.
Regional variations in hydrogen demand are stark. Europe and East Asia lead in policy support and pilot projects, while North America benefits from low-cost natural gas, slowing blue hydrogen adoption. Developing regions face higher barriers due to capital constraints and competing energy priorities. Despite these challenges, global hydrogen demand in heavy industries is projected to grow exponentially, with estimates suggesting a tenfold increase by 2050 under aggressive decarbonization scenarios.
Key challenges remain. Infrastructure for hydrogen production, storage, and transport is underdeveloped, particularly for large-scale industrial use. Regulatory uncertainty and lack of standardization slow investment. Public and private financing must align to de-risk projects and scale technologies. Workforce training and supply chain development are also critical to support the transition.
In summary, hydrogen is set to play a pivotal role in decarbonizing heavy industries, driven by policy, cost reductions, and technological innovation. Steel, cement, and chemicals are at the forefront, with regional leaders emerging in Europe and East Asia. However, scalability, infrastructure, and cost barriers must be overcome to realize hydrogen’s full potential in these sectors. The coming decade will be decisive in determining whether hydrogen can transition from pilot projects to mainstream industrial use.